In Britain preparations are underway for a scenario of disintegration of Russia
In the UK government, preparations are underway for a scenario of an unexpected disintegration of Russia. Serious considerations are being given in Britain to prepare for a potential unexpected disintegration scenario of Russia following the rebellion of Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of the Wagner Private Military Company, on Saturday, June 24th.
This was reported by The Times.
A high-ranking government official, in a comment to the publication, noted that "from the very beginning of the invasion, one of the most obvious scenarios was that the war could lead to political upheaval in Russia." "We must wait, watch, and see what happens next. This could be the first chapter of something new. Or for 'Wagner,' it could be the end. We need to prepare for a range of scenarios," he said.
However, Cabinet Office Minister John Glen pointed out that while the UK consistently supports Ukraine, it will not interfere in Russia's internal affairs. "It is evident that Russia is in a very unstable situation, but it is essentially their internal matter," he said.
Former Defense Attaché at the British Embassy in Moscow, John Forman, stated that if the "Wagner" coup had been successful, it would have turned out to be the "worst-case scenario." "You have to be careful what you wish for. Prigozhin is not some liberal peacemaking democrat. He is a fascist," he explained.
Discussing diplomats' surprise at the speed of the situation's escalation, he added, "Our assessment was that it would be gradual. It wouldn't be a sudden march on Moscow."
Earlier, the UN stated that Russia is only a federation in name and is actually a highly centralized state. Its disintegration into smaller entities is inevitable. This view was also shared by Oleksiy Danilov, Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, who predicted that the disintegration of Russia would occur within three to seven years.
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, commenting on the attempted military coup in Russia, stated that he does not believe "we have seen the last act" of these events. "The unprecedented challenge to Russian President Vladimir Putin from the Wagner Private Military Company has revealed 'cracks' in power that could take weeks or months to resolve," he said.
It should be noted that discussions about the country's disintegration have also been taking place within Russia itself. Last year, the "Free People's Forum of Russia" took place in Prague, where Russian opposition members, along with experts from around the world, discussed the disintegration of the Russian Federation into separate republics.