Russia Lacks Resources for Large-Scale Ukraine Capture, Military Expert Says

Russia has neither human nor military resources to seize new large areas of Ukraine's territory, military expert Serhiy Grabsky said.

The Gaze reports on this with reference to a broadcast on FREEDOM TV channel.

Russia is currently operating at the maximum of its military production. But it cannot increase this production. A good example is the number of missiles it fires at Ukraine.

"If we look at the statistics, the number of missiles fired at Ukraine does not exceed 140-160 missiles per month. This corresponds to the monthly production of missiles in Russia," Grabsky said.

"It is the same in terms of human resources. Russia is trying to take vigorous mobilisation measures, but it is not having the intended effect.

"There is an interesting feature that makes us wary. The enemy understands that a large number of junior and mid-level commanders will be needed to build up combat capabilities. That is why they are now conducting semi-secret training activities for non-commissioned officers and junior officers. At the departments of higher education institutions, in vocational schools, even in schools, intensive training courses are being held to prepare future cannon fodder," the expert said.

Grabsky stated that 80-90 per cent of the Russian Army personnel are currently fighting on the frontline in Ukraine.

"That is, almost all the ground forces of the Russian Federation are already involved in hostilities. This gives an understanding of what is happening on the frontline. The Donetsk direction with segmentation into separate areas (Pokrovske, Novopavlivske, Chasovoyarske and Toretske directions) is the area of the most active hostilities, the area of the greatest application of the Russian army's efforts. We see the concentration of Russia's main efforts here. We observe secondary strikes in the area of Lyman, where the enemy is trying to bypass the city from the north. We see such strikes and attempts to advance in the area of Kupiansk in Kharkiv region," he said.

The Russians have become more active in the Kharkiv sector, as well as in the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson sectors.

"This indicates that today the enemy is able to conduct uniform or equivalent combat operations in several areas of the frontline simultaneously. That is why we observe periodic activity in the Kharkiv, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson sectors aimed at keeping our troops in their positions and preventing them from being redeployed to more important areas of the frontline. In simple terms, these are the enemy's attempts to stretch our resources along the entire frontline, to prevent the strengthening of our groups fighting defensive battles in the Pokrovsk area," Grabsky explained.

However, it cannot be said that these actions will lead to a Russian offensive, in particular on Kharkiv.

"Just remember how long they have been fighting against our fortifications near Liptsy, near Volchansk. And all without much success. They can demonstratively send some units there, they can concentrate some new units there to conduct monotonous and exhausting combat operations. But it is hardly possible to say that the enemy is ready for any massive breakthrough towards Kharkiv today," the speaker stressed.

As The Gaze reported earlier, U.S. President Donald Trump has privately told European leaders that he is ‘convinced Russia is winning,’ echoing Kremlin talking points and signalling a pullback from earlier demands for a ceasefire and new sanctions.